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2012 Pre-Election Surge

Another Pre-Election Surprise From Al Qaeda

Is This The Centerpiece Of Al Qaeda's War Strategy?

In the weeks before the 2012 U.S. presidential election, Al Qaeda's biggest surge against America since 9/11 revealed its mushrooming ambition to rig the vote in favor of war hawks. 

Red Herrings

We must peel back the layers of facade masking Al Qaeda's motive for this operation in order to reveal the unmistakable trend propelling this pre-election attack.  Al Qaeda has tried to justify its coordinated assaults on U.S. missions in Egypt, Libya and Yemen on the 9/11 anniversary as an attempt to protect Islam from a Youtube upload posted by an obscure right-wing American filmmaker.  Of course, a stream of anti-Islamic videos by a few misguided U.S. citizens have played on Youtube since 9/11 without igniting riots in the Muslim world, and this latest one deserves no more attention.  The fact that Al Qaeda can rally so many protesters with this ridiculous grievance against America reflects both the state of media misinformation and the depth of anti-American sentiment in the Muslim world.  In reality, publicity for the Youtube video merely represents more of the typical sham propaganda propagated by the Bin Laden syndicate.  This 2012 video should be identified with previous Al Qaeda ruses, like the 2007 Pakistani "Red Mosque" siege detailed in Syed Shahzad's "Inside Al Qaeda and the Taliban".  Then the news media should ignore the video.  

With the advent of the Arab Spring, Al Qaeda has also framed its "Youtube video" riots as an extension of a popular revolt against Western influence in the Muslim world.  Al Qaeda conspicuously attempted to merge with and hijack the mass protest movement by launching its incendiary anti-American riots simultaneously in three of the most critical flash points for the Arab Spring (Cairo, Benghazi, Sanaa) on the day that is synonymous with Al Qaeda.  The direct influence of the Arab Spring on Al Qaeda's pre-election plot for mass protests has received amplification from the reverberating actions and inactions of the superpower's military during its conduct of the 9/11 War.  The Al Qaeda-orchestrated anti-American protests sweeping the Muslim world occurred in the context of
  • Political fallout in the Middle East from the belligerent U.S. Administration of George W. Bush
  • Active U.S. war zones in Afghanistan, Northwest Pakistan, Yemen and parts of North Africa
  • Sustained U.S. support for corrupt regimes throughout the Muslim world, including the current governments of Israel, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan
  • America's refusal to confront militarily the genocidal Syrian regime or levy economic sanctions against Russia for its ongoing support of the Syrian civil war
Al Qaeda's ability to harness Muslim rage over recent and continuing U.S. belligerency has powerfully facilitated its specially timed mass riots.  In addition to the obscure video and the auspiciously timed Islamic revolution against Western-backed regimes, the 9/11 anniversary provided another layer of cover story for the coordinated attacks on U.S. embassies.  For all of the 9/11 anniversaries that passed without a major surge of Al Qaeda terrorism, the senior leadership's decision to launch its most powerful post-9/11 strike in 2012 suggests less about the importance of the anniversary and more about the utility of the prophesied year to Bin Laden's apocalyptic cult.  Shahzad's 2011 expose of the Pakistani-based high command underscores this fixation with 2012. 

Although some officials have disputed Al Qaeda's links to the three attacks on the 9/11 anniversary, we can reasonably infer the syndicate's connection with the three assaults on the two U.S. embassies and the U.S. diplomatic headquarters in Libya based on
  • The well-established Al Qaeda ties to the Libyan attack
  • The coincidence of the three attacks on preeminent U.S. targets in the Middle East on the 9/11 anniversary
  • Al Qaeda's hallmark of multiple attacks on U.S. embassies and consulates, including the August 1998 African embassy bombings as well as the late 2008 armed assaults on the U.S. consulate in Istanbul and the U.S. embassy in Yemen
  • Al Qaeda's stated ambition to hijack the Arab Spring by utilizing its well documented presence in Yemen, Egypt and Libya
  • Al Qaeda's unrelenting preoccupation with pre-election surges
In addition to the armed assault on the U.S. consulate in Libya, the coordinated mob violence executed simultaneously targeting U.S. embassies in Yemen and Egypt represents a three-pronged surge by Al Qaeda against U.S. targets in the Middle East, not spontaneous mob violence on 9/11.

The True Motive

In order to facilitate designs for vivifying Islamic doomsday mythology, Al Qaeda has once again employed its long-standing "pre-election surprise" tactic in the coordinated attacks of September 2012 and the ensuing orchestrated mob violence in the three targeted countries.  Continuing a trend that spans the entire post-9/11 age, Al Qaeda has chosen to reserve its major terrorist surges for the weeks before U.S. national elections.

October 2000:              USS COLE bombing, Bin Laden's first failed attempt to launch the 9/11 attack

October 2002:              Bali, Moscow, Aden port

July - October 2004:     Tashkent, Beslan, Jakarta, Egyptian resort

September 2006:          Failed Atlantic airlines plot

July - October 2008:      Istanbul, Sanaa, Islamabad, postponed Mumbai Massacre plot

October 2010:               Failed U.S. air cargo plot

Sept - October 2012:     Egypt, Libya, Yemen, . . .

A simple graph measuring the intensity and intervals of Al Qaeda terrorist attacks since 9/11 highlights this statistical trend in Al Qaeda warfare that explains the real reason for Al Qaeda's greatest post-9/11 surge occurring in the weeks before the U.S. presidential election.

Al Qaeda's unfolding October Surprise ploy for 2012 suggests that the Bin Laden syndicate has endeavored since the millennium Bush-Gore contest to rig every U.S. national election in favor of war hawks who would unwittingly rally supporters for Al Qaeda's global insurgency and wage a protracted war with the syndicate in the prophesied lands of the Apocalypse War recounted in Islamic mythology. 

Al Qaeda has magnified the "terror value" of its 2012 pre-election ploy by hijacking the Arab Spring and transforming the previously Islamic-centric mass movement into a multimillion-man army mobilizing to launch a tsunami of terrorist attacks inside the U.S. homeland that threatens to sabotage President Obama's record on national security.  By employing a former Guantanamo Bay detainee to direct the pre-election operation targeting U.S. embassies, Al Qaeda has further tried to disparage the reputation of the dovish incumbent candidate famed for his promise to close the prison.  In addition to the terrorizing influence that the shocking October Surprise attacks can exert on the superpower's electorate in the voting booth, Al Qaeda has distinguished its 2012 surge with a powerful economic assault on America.  The mass unrest throughout the Middle East centered around Al Qaeda attacks on U.S. diplomatic missions will undoubtedly spike gasoline prices at-the-pump for American voters in the weeks before the election.  Unlike its three other presidential-election-eve operations in 2000, 2004 and 2008, this one appears designed to sabotage the incumbent candidate's reelection bid by rigging the key economic indicator historically influencing an incumbent's success -- gas prices.  With a three-pronged attack on the dovish incumbent's campaign involving major terrorist strikes on U.S. targets, an exploding threat to the U.S. homeland and politically sensitive price hikes in the United States, Al Qaeda has endeavored to rig the presidential vote in favor of the hawkish challenger.

The Failed Finale

By creating the appearance of popular support for Al Qaeda's global Islamic insurgency against America, the violent mass protests against U.S. influence in the Muslim world conveys a sense of legitimacy to Al Qaeda's plot for another act of mega-terrorism inside the United States.  More than a luxury, popular sanction is a prerequisite for Al Qaeda's planned 9/11 2.0 -- likely involving high-altitude radiological bombings over New York City at the end of 2012.  Echoing its operations during the weeks before the last U.S. presidential election, Al Qaeda tried to escalate its "October Surprise" surge from U.S. embassies and consulates in Yemen and elsewhere in the Middle East into an act of terrorism inside the United States.  The attempted truck-bombing of the Federal Reserve Bank in New York City represented the finale for the 2012 surprise that, like the 2010 surprise, failed completely.  Like its October 2010 plot to blow up two U.S. cargo planes over New York City with Chicago-bound parcels, the 2012 conspiracy attempted to discredit the incumbent presidential candidate by targeting the U.S. homeland with its largest post-9/11 terrorist attack to date using an agent sent by Al Qaeda's Yemen branch in the week before Voting Day. 

By singling out financial targets in the U.S. financial capital in the wake of the global economic meltdown precipitated by the U.S. financial collapse of September 2008, Al Qaeda would have maximized the prospects of rallying popular support for terrorist attacks on the U.S. homeland.  Like the planned 9/11 2.0 plot, the Fed bombing conspiracy focused on New York due to Al Qaeda's success in clearly distinguishing the city as an Al Qaeda target whose citizens have been provided due warning of the syndicate's intent to attack them.  Beyond supporting Al Qaeda's image as a righteous defensive insurgency, the October Surprise plots attempted to provoke U.S. military retaliation in Yemen -- both due to the potential for an inflammatory Muslim response to attacks on Islam's holiest land as well as the Arabian Peninsula's identity as one of the battlefields described in Islamic apocalyptic prophecy that has yet to be fully vivified.  The absence of major Al Qaeda surges during any other time frame emphasizes the centrality to Al Qaeda's strategy of rigging the U.S. election in favor of war hawks, framing the U.S. public for the superpower's belligerency toward the Muslim world and inciting U.S. military aggression that rallies popular support for Bin Laden's war and completes the fulfillment of Islamic apocalyptic prophecy.  In the context of the preliminary operations against U.S. diplomatic missions in the Middle East, the thwarting of an Al Qaeda plot tied to its Yemen branch that aimed to launch a truck bombing targeting the Federal Reserve bank in New York City during October 2012 precisely matched the criteria for this October Surprise design.

As much as the publication of actionable intelligence on Al Qaeda's October Surprise plot, public awareness of this scheme by America's leading foreign adversary to rig the vote in favor of Romney holds the potential to defuse the psychological operation.  


David Thomas Malone is the director of, a think tank that advocates inciting mutinous insurrection against Al Qaeda's leadership by disclosing conclusive scientific evidence of its plot to ignite a Great Extinction event.  Based on a trends analysis generated from this evidence, Malone has published accurate forewarnings of Al Qaeda's October Surprise plots to rig U.S. national elections in 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010 and now 2012.  

In July 2008 Malone hosted a nationally publicized guerrilla press conference at the New York Times headquarters where he accurately forecasted Al Qaeda's plot for its biggest surge to date designed to attack prominent U.S. targets in the Muslim world during the weeks before the upcoming Obama-McCain vote.  This surge included attacks on U.S. diplomatic missions in the Middle East, a bombing known as "Pakistan's 9/11" that targeted a U.S. hotel, and a postponed attempt to launch the mega-terrorist attack known as the Mumbai Massacre that aimed to target U.S. congregations in India's "New York City" and kill five thousand people.  

In late October 2010 Malone issued his biennial "October Surprise" warning in the form of an email circulated by Professor Paul Ehrlich of Stanford and former New York Times columnist Andy Revkin.  The terrorism alert specified a plot by Al Qaeda in Yemen to launch the greatest post-9/11 attack on America in the form of two bombings inside the United States during the few days remaining before the U.S. midterm election.  Twenty-four hours later news broke of this thwarted scheme known as the air cargo plot.  The terrorism alert in October 2010 also included accurate forewarning of the 2012 October Surprise described above.

View the complete "Trends Analysis" article at